Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.662311 5.058057 5.486379 5.986964 6.559242 7.197038 7.967215
2025-03-16 3.997190 4.534981 5.158752 5.945890 6.927715 8.133222 9.760376
2025-03-23 3.679712 4.305138 5.066640 6.083099 7.438752 9.239319 11.915885
2025-03-30 3.331068 3.977631 4.791052 5.920023 7.500061 9.726192 13.298422
2025-04-06 3.056091 3.707788 4.549064 5.753966 7.508824 10.109172 14.577296
2025-04-13 2.831831 3.480577 4.335987 5.593821 7.489413 10.426077 15.799156
2025-04-20 2.676723 3.330771 4.210869 5.538622 7.608672 10.964663 17.528629
2025-04-27 2.601173 3.281057 4.216799 5.670003 8.026232 12.058356 20.627916
2025-05-04 2.540150 3.245361 4.236985 5.820716 8.490151 13.317749 24.538035
2025-05-11 2.441992 3.149796 4.161170 5.811229 8.677502 14.095234 27.670049
2025-05-18 2.361249 3.073693 4.107652 5.830200 8.913800 15.012587 31.579919
2025-05-25 2.238848 2.930040 3.942373 5.649982 8.762800 15.093711 33.205901
2025-06-01 2.134118 2.813593 3.821374 5.550901 8.785190 15.632201 36.794844
2025-06-08 2.050418 2.725300 3.740367 5.516509 8.936193 16.523716 42.320200
2025-06-15 2.008020 2.696217 3.749692 5.639213 9.417817 18.347860 53.176698
2025-06-22 1.914286 2.583407 3.616752 5.493540 9.320740 18.673300 58.093436
2025-06-29 1.827418 2.477097 3.488190 5.344970 9.197903 18.903810 62.943997
2025-07-06 1.748025 2.378900 3.367576 5.201469 9.068073 19.087956 67.933152
2025-07-13 1.691930 2.314741 3.299875 5.151956 9.142425 19.896799 78.111271
2025-07-20 1.669896 2.303139 3.319173 5.269760 9.618925 22.113382 103.578036
2025-07-27 1.651723 2.296570 3.346191 5.404719 10.161067 24.803105 144.662451
2025-08-03 1.610878 2.251406 3.303675 5.396230 10.346559 26.324214 182.228259
2025-08-10 1.576504 2.215296 3.274918 5.413206 10.601166 28.243203 242.229126